WiFi Odds
Inflight WiFi as a forecast · figures checked daily · this build 25 Jul 2026
The roadmap

What has shipped, and what has not

The one page here about this project instead of about an airline. Shipped things carry the date they can be checked against. The rest carry the date they entered the state they are in, a confidence word, and the thing they are actually waiting on.

Shipped

Extension v1.5.1

shipped24 Jul 2026

Odds badges and a one-click odds sort on united.com and app.navan.com, plus the route panel. The date and the coverage are read off the Chrome Web Store listing body, not off the repository manifest, which is already at 2.0.0.

The public ConnectScore API

shippedlive in this build, 25 Jul 2026

Answering today: GET /api/airlines, GET /api/airlines/qatar and GET /api/score/UA212. No key, CORS open, credits in every response body. The docs →

The projected score, fenced

shippedlive in this build, 25 Jul 2026

A fourth number for carriers that have signed and published an aircraft count, under five rules a build tripwire checks on the bytes that ship. 19 fenced units shipped in this build. The rules →

The rollout archive

shippedlive in this build, 25 Jul 2026

One row per United tail, one date per install, running since the first install day on record. It is the only public per-tail archive of an inflight WiFi rollout, and every airline instrumented after this one inherits its priors. The floor →

Ahead

Extension v2.0.0

SOFTin this state since 24 Jul 2026

alaskaair.com and Google Flights behind permissions you grant yourself, and every ConnectScore in the popup.

Waiting on: Chrome Web Store review. Submitted 24 Jul 2026; the queue is not ours to date.

Tail-swap Guardian

SOFTin this state since 24 Jul 2026

Watches a booked flight for an equipment swap between booking and boarding.

Waiting on: Extension 2.1, which follows 2.0.0 out of review. Built and in test, in no store build.

The next instrumented airline

SOFTin this state since 1 Jul 2026

Hawaiian is next on the list: the highest next-gen share of any US carrier, and already tail-verified.

Waiting on: A per-flight history to count. Verified tails are not enough on their own — that is the difference between tier A and tier B, and it is the whole reason Alaska stops at the sub-fleet.

No row above carries a horizon date, and that is deliberate. The extension items are queued behind a Chrome Web Store review nobody here schedules, and the instrumentation item lands when a tracker publishes a per-flight history. The airlines on this site are fenced by the rule that a projection with no date gets no chip, and the same rule applies to me. The five rules →

Live now

The three things you can open today

The route optimizer

57 cached United routes, every departure ranked by its own Starlink history, connection-aware.

Open it →

The hangar floor

All 481 equipped tails, the 176-day install archive, and the full registry.

Open it →

18 ConnectScores

One number per airline, recomputed on every build, quotable with credit.

Open it →

Reported Fleet and per-tail verification for United, Alaska and Hawaiian: unitedstarlinktracker.com and alaskastarlinktracker.com (@martinamps), 25 JUL 2026. Every other airline from public airline announcements, Jul 2026. Full credit and citation →